The record
Everyone here is scored.
Every directional read is recorded when it is shown and settled only against a resolved official outcome. Publications, named bylines and public figures each carry their own record, and a member's sits beside them.
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Publications · as their coverage read
Tomorrow's reading of how each outlet's coverage argued the question. Not a forecast the outlet published — that is the separate table below.
Publications · as they forecast
Only where an outlet published an explicit, attributed forecast. A far smaller set, and a much stronger claim.
Bylines · as their copy read
Tomorrow's reading of how a named writer's coverage argued the question. This is a fact about how we read them, not a forecast they made. Only where the publisher named a writer; an outlet is not an author.
Public figures
Regulators, policymakers and executives whose statements move the questions this market prices. A figure is scored only on a statement recorded with a verbatim quote and a public source, settled against named outcome evidence. Every tracked office is listed, including those with nothing settled — an absent row would read as “not tracked”.
Bylines · as they forecast
Only where that writer published an explicit, attributed forecast. A far smaller set, and the only table here that scores a person on a call they actually made.